Cryptocurrency restored
half-year lows. When it is better to buy it
In
January, the value of bitcoin reached its lowest level since July 2021, and
against the record-breaking November of the same year, the main cryptocurrency
fell by almost half.
At the
end of January, bitcoin is estimated at $ 33-38 thousand. In this article,
analysts at the regulated cryptocurrency exchange Currency.com analyzed the
reasons for the decline and possible scenarios for changes in the price of
cryptocurrencies soon.
Compared to November 2021, the value of bitcoin decreased by 45 %. However, this is not a record figure: the approximate figures were recorded in July 2021, and in December 2018 the price fell by more than 80%.
Bitcoin
has not become the only cryptocurrency that has rapidly lost value. Ether,
which depends on it, continues to fall and fell by almost half from the
November high. At the end of last year, the broadcast cost more than $ 4.8
thousand.
The value of Etherium from 13 to 26 January 2022 on the crypto platform Currency.com
Kazakhstan and the United States pressed the market
On
January 1, bitcoin cost about $ 42,000, and on January 10 - less than $ 36,000.
One of the reasons for the rapid decline, experts called the desire for the
Internet in Kazakhstan during the protests. The country accounts for 18% of the
world's bitcoin mining network capacity. Of course, the situation in Kazakhstan
could not leave the cryptocurrency market unchanged, but at the same time the
powerful impact on the cryptocurrency subsidence may be overestimated.
Another
reason for the decline in bitcoin is the increase in the key rate of the Fed in
March, against which the stock indexes S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell too much. In
January, the correlation between the bitcoin exchange rate and the S&P 500
index reached a record high since October 2020.
There
is a third reason that affected the January correction. The influential
pressure of the International Monetary Fund on El Salvador, where it has been
recognized as a means of payment since last year, is another threat to the
value of cryptocurrency. The IMF did not support El Salvador's decision, and in
late January demanded the withdrawal of official cryptocurrency status. The IMF
hints that the $ 1.3 billion loans that the country expects from the IMF to
restructure its foreign debt depend on meeting this condition. El Salvador's
refusal to comply with the IMF's call could provoke a new round of correction.
What to
expect?
The
decline in bitcoin may continue and intensify. However, on January 21,
Bloomberg analysts said that bitcoin is nearing completion of the correction,
as the relative strength index (RSI) has reached a minimum. And in this case,
there is usually a reversal of the trend and a return to growth. According to
the agency, the last time the RSI of the cryptocurrency fell to its lowest
level was in the summer of 2021, when the value of the asset showed a decline
to $ 28 thousand, and therefore a possible jump.
The
increase in the value of bitcoin may be influenced by mass acquisitions of
assets by large investors. Now the latter is still waiting for an attractive
price for mass procurement. Significant movement of prices uphill requires the
high activity of "whales" - the largest investors.
In the
past, large investors often bought large volumes of cryptocurrencies during
downturns. Such actions, in the long run, can return bitcoin to the point of
historical maximum.
Bitcoin
reached a historic high on Currency.com cryptocurrency in November 2021
Is
there the right strategy?
At the
same time, the number of people willing to buy cryptocurrency on the slump has
increased significantly. Investors who buy bitcoin, ether, and other altcoins
on the downside can record profits as the market grows. During the period of
consolidation and sale, another volatile "storm" may occur.
However,
bitcoin should not be allowed to continue to fall. Therefore, the best strategy
would be to buy the asset step by step in small amounts - for example, three
days or a week. This will eliminate possible risks and get an attractive
mediocre course.
The
dynamics of the cryptocurrency market show steady growth even after significant
declines. Therefore, in the long run, cryptocurrencies remain an attractive
investment tool.
You can
buy cryptocurrency on the regulated cryptocurrency exchange Currency.com. In
addition to several dozen cryptocurrencies available for purchase, it can be
used to trade more than 2,000 tokenized assets - tokenized stocks, indices,
commodities, ETFs, currencies.
And if
you lack knowledge, you can get it at Currency.com Academy, where you can study
different types of assets, analyze the most popular strategies and find out
about the terms. Currently, there are dozens of video tutorials, articles, and
webinar recordings that will help you enter the trade as prepared as possible.
The
message contains information about market movements, is not an investment
study, should not be considered as investment advice, and is a subjective point
of view on the object of the message of the author of the material. Preliminary
indicators are not reliable indicators of future price dynamics.
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